Turkey Election Maps: Why Erdogan Appears Headed For a Runoff


Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey’s longtime incumbent chief, seemed to be heading to a presidential election runoff for the primary time in his profession after falling in need of the 50 p.c wanted to win in nationwide elections on Sunday.



Supply: Anadolu Company (unofficial outcomes).


The provinces that include Istanbul and Ankara, Turkey’s two largest cities, voted for Kemal Kilicdaroglu after each voted for Mr. Erdogan in 2018.

The nation’s affluent coastal area voted in favor of the opposition, because it has up to now.

Turkey’s Kurdish inhabitants, who dwell principally within the southeast, voted overwhelmingly in help of the opposition.

Central Turkey, a stronghold for Mr. Erdogan, voted principally within the president’s favor.

Sources: Anadolu Company (unofficial election outcomes), WorldPop (inhabitants density).

Observe: Not all outcomes have been reported. Some outcomes could change.

Mr. Erdogan nonetheless had probably the most votes of any candidate, together with the opposition chief Kemal Kilicdaroglu, as of Monday, upsetting opposition supporters who have been anticipating a swift victory.

Mr. Erdogan appeared to have the sting as he possible headed right into a runoff on Could 28. The appropriate-wing supporters of a 3rd candidate, Sinan Ogan, usually tend to vote for Mr. Erdogan within the runoff, analysts say, rising his successful possibilities.

Even so, nearly each a part of the nation shifted towards Mr. Erdogan in contrast with the newest presidential election in 2018, in keeping with preliminary outcomes from Anadolu Company, a state information group.

2023 Erdogan vote share in comparison with 2018

Decrease Erdogan vote share

Larger Erdogan vote share


Within the areas hit hardest by the earthquake in February, most provinces shifted away from Mr. Erdogan.

Mr. Erdogan was forward in most provinces in Central Turkey, his conventional stronghold, however he misplaced many votes there in contrast with 2018.

Sources: Anadolu Company (unofficial election outcomes), U.S. Geological Survey (earthquakes).

Among the sharpest rebukes got here from the provinces round Turkey’s two largest cities, Istanbul and Ankara, the place Mr. Erdogan gained in 2018 however was behind on Monday, and from areas in central Turkey which have historically offered Mr. Erdogan’s core help. Mr. Erdogan was nonetheless effectively forward in most provinces there, however he misplaced votes in contrast with 2018.

Voters additionally leaned away from Mr. Erdogan within the areas hit hardest by the earthquake. Voters there told The Times they have been voting for Mr. Kilicdaroglu due to the federal government’s earthquake response in addition to its dealing with of the economic system.

Shifts have been extra muted in areas the place opposition politicians have usually performed effectively, alongside the Mediterranean coast to the west and in Turkey’s southeast, residence to a lot of the Kurdish inhabitants.

Presidential election outcomes by 12 months

Candidates want 50 p.c of vote to keep away from a runoff election

2014Recep Tayyip ErdoganErdoganEkmeleddin IhsanogluIhsanogluSelahattin DemirtasDemirtas2018Recep Tayyip ErdoganErdoganMuharrem InceInceSelahattin DemirtasDemirtasMeral AksenerAksener2023Recep Tayyip ErdoganErdoganKemal KilicdarogluKilicdarogluSinan OganOgan

Sources: Supreme Election Council, Anadolu Company (unofficial election outcomes).

Observe: Outcomes from 2023 are preliminary. The graphic contains all candidates who obtained not less than 5 p.c of the vote.

The vote was in some ways a referendum on the performance of Mr. Erdogan, Turkey’s dominant politician for 20 years.

Source link


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here